Business Warriors: Your FREE
Recession Survival Tips
In times like these where nobody knows what
horrors next week holds, we'd like to share some ideas to
help you survive.
There are 10 Key
Tips in this portfolio. This page is the first. The other
nine are yours in a series of emails over the next 27
days. (After 10 years of teaching business owners via
email and websites, experience shows that we assimilate
ideas much better in small doses.)
This short
course was developed for Business Warriors (as
business managers, and in their private roles) since
most of the advice being given in the media these
days might work well in normal times. But
these are not normal times, and much of that
advice is very bad for you.
I was chatting to a local business
owner recently about this recession thing. He told me
he was repaying his debts as fast as he could, especially
his mortgage.
I know that this is the current
mantra, the current best practice, but it seems to me that this
is the worst thing you can possibly do right now. Here's
why.
At some point in the next few
years each of us will run out of
cash. (I
did in January with some big one off expenses.) At that
point, that small cashflow issue is the trigger for a
huge range of consequences:
- The debit bounces out of your cheque
account and this stops any future credit stone
dead;
- The
firm wanting the payment now doesn't much care that in
January you paid in
extra cash, especially if that was to reduce a debt
elsewhere;
- Suddenly, instead
of being up to
date, you're in arrears, despite being
an excellent client this far;
- If the
situation progresses, your car or home gets
repossessed anyhow, and the extra money in it is
lost;
- which means
that the advice was really bad because we have no
idea what's going to happen later in the
year.
By
repaying our debt earlier than we have to (which is the
reducing the sum of all our existing credit lines)
we're encouraging a future
catastrophe.
A few of my credit
cards have recently written to me
to reduce my limits! The faster I repay
them the less they want to lend me because they're so
exposed to bad clients! How bizarre.
We're repaying our debt in the expectation
that our credit lines will remain in
place.
That's not true.
Our credit lines ride on a bankers whim, and there are
far too many reasons for that whim to change - all of
which have little to do with us. The utter chaos in the
world banking industry should show us quite how much in
control they really are.
Imagine your bank
noticing an increase in defaults in Gauteng. You're not a
defaulter, but your bank pre-empts the situation by
lowering limits for all folk in Gauteng. Suddenly you
have less working capital than last week. You're on the
road to becoming a defaulter. The bank fulfills its own
prophecy, and the clever fellow that spotted the trend
gets himself a moerse bonus for saving the bank so much
money!
All the Western
Governments are pumping money into their economies as
fast as they can. They've exhausted monetary policy. They
openly admit that they do not know what they're
doing.
Paying back your
debts from today's (uninflated) income is expensive. It
trashes your personal credit lines, with no guarantee
that they will be in place when you need them. It is
another case of behaving 'sensibly' in unsensible
times.
(No matter how
prudently you may have been saving for your pension
these past 50 years, one year of global banking
misbehaviour, and the consequent govt behaviour - and
you're as well off as somebody blowing coke up his
nose for that same period.)
If you'd like the rest of the tips in
this series, please complete the form below. I will not
share your address with anyone else, nor will I waste your
time. And you can stop the sequence at any time with just
one click.
Bottom
line: Conserve cash. Don't pay the
debts you owe faster than you have to. And collect the
debts owed to you as fast as you
can.
Regards
Peter
Carruthers Business Warrior Central
PS
If you'd like the other nine
ideas, over the next three weeks, please complete the
section below. I will not share your email address. I will not
waste your time. And at any time you can stop the emails with
just one click.
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