Retirement: What Income
will I Get?
I'll get How Much?
In the
previous
section we worked out how much money you will
have at 65, valued in today's Rands. That's half the battle. We
now want to work out what kind of income that will give us.
Lets assume that most of us will live past 65 for more than 20
great years.
I may be going through stuff that
you already know, but please bear with me. If I don’t go down
this path with you then chances are the numbers I talk about in
Part 3 (where I share the road I am going down) won’t make
sense, and that will invite far too many protests. Please bear
in mind that I am not selling anything, just publicly exploring
a problem that so many of us seem to have.
At this point we must talk
about annuities. (Nothing to do with Retirement Annuities,
which are products that let you save some tax en route.
Introduced by Donald Gordan in the early sixties, and the basis
for Liberty Life's early success, as I recall. Bruce Cameron
has written far more than I want to on the
subject here.)
An annuity is the product
most of us will invest in to give us an income until the
spring unravels in our mortal coil.
An annuity is the exact reverse
of a life assurance policy. We all know what life assurance is:
You pay a life assurer a small monthly amount, and on your
death they pay your heirs one big amount. The amount you pay
each month depends on:
- your
health,
- your
age,
- your
gender,
- and (of course) how
big a lumpsum you want on death.
(You
either pay much more or
get
much less if you are
unhealthy, something we diabetics have to cope
with.)
With life assurance, the longer
you live the more the assurer wins.
An annuity is the opposite. You
pay a big firm a lumpsum, and they pay you a small amount each
month for the rest of your life. With an annuity, the shorter
you live the more the assurer wins because they keep it all on
your death.
What you get for your money is
based on a few factors:
- your age (how long
the income stream must last, so the younger you are the
less you get each month);
- your gender (sadly,
woman live longer than men so they get less each
month);
- whether you want your
income to grow each year by inflation or some other factor
(in which case you get much less when you start out but it
catches up later);
- whether you want the
income stream to cover both you and your spouse (even less
because two people almost always outlive
one);
- the interest rates at
the time you buy the annuity;
- and
which company you buy the annuity
from.
There are a
few more factors, but that’s enough for now. (The rates vary
hugely, yet very few of us seem to check them all out.) This
often means that the money never leaves the firm you started
out with back before Noah had a beard.
If you are saving in a retirement
annuity you are forced to buy an annuity when you retire, and
it is widely sold to anybody who wants to get a monthly income
into their dotage. You would think that it is simply a matter
of taking your money from your savings account (most often a
retirement annuity or two). Nope.
Once you have bought your annuity
your money is locked away forever. Nothing is left, no matter
when you die. You are at the mercy of the firm. This is not a
problem unless the firm stumbles, as has happened recently in
the UK with a big firm called Equitable
Life. It's also not a problem unless the
inflation rate gets too excited, as has happened in
Zimbabwe recently.
And lastly, your income from your
annuity is taxable. What SARS giveth as you get old, SARS
taketh away as you get even older. Which reminds me, at this
very early level I am ignoring tax issues. I will come back to
those a bit later as we get much deeper into the
project.
You know what your lumpsum is
going to be at age 65 (we found that out
here
), and
you know what the buying power of that is today (that
was here
as
well). It’s quite easy to work out what kind of
retirement income that will generate. Simply call your
broker and ask for a quote on an annuity for yourself and
your spouse, inflation linked. (And don’t get sidetracked
by the questions - we’re looking for an approximate
number.)
At the time of original writing
(Oct 2008) I had three quotes from various SA firms, and
if you’re in the UK it is pretty easy to get the current
rates here. This particular page
shows inflation
linked UK
rates, but you will instantly see how widely they vary -
mainly based on your age, your spouses age, and whether you
want the annuity to cover both of you. (I recommend the
joint option if you want to stay married!)
Back to the SA rates for a
moment, and then we will look at how much my R904,568 (from the
previous page) will give me each month.
The three rates I got were all
for myself and my woman, starting at age 65, for the rest of my
life. They are:
- 10.276% for an annuity that will pay out
exactly the same amount until we’re both gone, and is based
on us both being 65 years of age when we buy
it.
- 9.623%
for exactly the same, but with my wife five years younger
than me, and if we both die within 10 years the annuity
will continue to be paid until the end of ten
years.
- 4.448%
for a monthly income that will increase by 7% each year
(not quite inflation linked) and guarantee payout for at
least ten years.
OK, so we have
a few variables, and some complications. Bear with me because I
had made the calculation easier (the calculator below) and I
want to show you the kind of stuff that gets thrown at you. (A
GREAT reason to have at least one second opinion from somebody
who is not selling you anything!)
Eish, it sure is
sobering, isn’t it? I don’t know about you, but when I
saw the results against my REAL figures (which I am far
too embarrassed to reveal in public) I needed a change in
underwear. Twice. And I have not been sleeping well
since. That’s pretty much what started this project.
Lets go back to the drawing board and in the next section, try
and work out how much we DO need to put away to ensure a
retirement worthy of the pain of the past few decades. Go
here.
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